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Industry Primers

Bottom-up NAICS industry primers written for both public-market and private investors. Leaf industries are researched from the ground up; every group, subsector, and sector above them reads as a contrast across the industries beneath it.

2122 industries · 24 sectors · NAICS 2022

Researched with AI assistance from official U.S. statistics and independent sources, with citations on every page. Figures are not individually verified against pinned evidence — primers marked Evidence-verified are. Industry research, not investment advice. Methodology.

IndustryNAICS 11191Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting

Tobacco Farming (United States) — NAICS 11191

A short investor's rollup for a general audience — relevant to both public-market and private investors. NAICS (the North American Industry Classification System) code 11191 is the industry level for U.S. tobacco farming. It contains exactly one detailed industry, 111910, and is effectively identical to it. For the full picture, read the 111910 Tobacco Farming primer; this page summarizes and points you there. [7]

1. Overview

Tobacco farming is the business of growing and curing leaf tobacco — the raw agricultural input that becomes cigarettes, cigars, pipe tobacco, and smokeless products. At the 5-digit NAICS "industry" level, code 11191 is a single-child pass-through: everything it covers is captured by its one 6-digit child, 111910. There is no second sub-industry to aggregate, so this level's economics, universe, and risks are those of 111910.

For a general audience, the one-line takeaway is that this is a small, mature, structurally declining U.S. crop niche sitting at the bottom of a large, cash-generative global tobacco supply chain. The farming itself is almost entirely private and owner-operated; the investable money sits one link up (leaf merchants) and downstream (cigarette and smokeless makers). [1]

2. What's inside — and why 11191 equals 111910

NAICS nests from broad to specific: sector (2-digit) → subsector (3) → industry group (4) → industry (5) → national industry (6). Code 11191 is the 5-digit industry "Tobacco Farming," and it has a single 6-digit national industry beneath it:

Child (6-digit) Name Share of this level
111910 Tobacco Farming 100%

Because there is only one child, 11191 and 111910 describe the same set of establishments: farms primarily engaged in planting, cultivating, harvesting, and on-farm curing (drying) of tobacco leaf. The main U.S. types are flue-cured ("Virginia"/"bright," barn heat-cured, centered in North Carolina) and burley (air-cured, centered in Kentucky and Tennessee), plus small volumes of dark, fire-cured, and cigar leaf. Excluded from the level — and important, because tobacco's value is created downstream — are cigarette/product manufacturing (NAICS 312230) and leaf merchant wholesaling (NAICS 424940). [7] Everything in the child primer's scope discussion applies unchanged here.

3. How big it is (this level's figures)

Ground-truth note: our ingested federal ground-truth file for NAICS 11191 contains no business-statistics metrics (establishments, employment, payroll, or revenue). So the figures below are drawn from the child 111910 primer's cited sources — chiefly the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) — and are labeled as such; none are invented here. Because 11191 equals 111910, these are this level's figures too.

  • Farms: 2,987 in 2022, down from 56,977 in 2002 — a decline of more than 95%, as production consolidated into fewer, larger, more mechanized operations (average size rose roughly ninefold, from 7.5 to 69.5 harvested acres). [2][3]
  • Production: about 358.6 million pounds of leaf from 171,300 harvested acres in 2025 (yield near 2,093 lb/acre). Output is volatile — the 2022 crop was ~431 million pounds; the drought-hit 2024 crop fell sharply. [5]
  • Crop value (farm-gate): preliminary 2025 value ~$831.5 million at ~$2.32/lb — down from ~$1.0 billion in 2022. This is farm-gate crop value (what farmers received), not NAICS industry revenue or downstream product sales. [6]
  • Geography: highly concentrated. By farm count (2022), Kentucky leads, then North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia. By pounds (2025), North Carolina dominates, followed by Kentucky — the top two states grow roughly seven-eighths of the crop. [4][5]

Undercount caveat. Federal business statistics understate this industry: most tobacco operations are farm proprietorships without paid employees, so they fall largely outside the Census Bureau's employer-business series (County Business Patterns) and are instead counted by USDA. [8] Small and individual ownership dominates, so any employer-based establishment or employment count would understate the true farm base. Treat farm counts (USDA) and any business counts (Census) as measuring different things.

4. Investable universe

Value does not concentrate across children here — there is only one child, and it is the fragmented, private farm base. So the investable universe of 11191 is the investable universe of 111910: there is no listed pure-play U.S. tobacco-farm operator. Public exposure runs through the leaf merchants that aggregate and process leaf (most directly Universal Corporation, plus Pyxus International) and the downstream manufacturers that consume it (Altria, Philip Morris International, British American Tobacco, Turning Point Brands). The direct farm layer — ~3,000 family farms, grower cooperatives (e.g., U.S. Tobacco Cooperative), and independent processors — is private and changes hands as farmland, equipment, and contracts, not securities. Tickers, yields, and scale details are in the child primer's §4. [11][13][14]

5. How the money works

Since the 2004 quota buyout, tobacco is grown on annual production contracts, not open auction. A grower's economics are pounds harvested × realized price per pound, with cost dominated by labor — tobacco is among the most labor-intensive U.S. crops, and most large operations run H-2A seasonal guest-worker labor (the federal agricultural visa program). Because contract prices are set by a concentrated buy side, the margin lever is scale and yield, not price — which is exactly why average farm size rose roughly ninefold as small growers exited. On the public side, leaf merchants earn a processing-and-trading margin and carry heavy inventory and working-capital risk. Full detail is in the child primer's §5. [5][6]

6. Demand drivers

Farm-level demand is derived demand from finished tobacco products, and the trend is down: U.S. adult cigarette-smoking prevalence fell to 9.9% in 2024 (first single-digit reading on record), and growth is in leaf-light products (vapes, nicotine pouches). Exports — over $1 billion of unmanufactured leaf in 2023 — are a partial offset, as are premium, traceable, export-grade leaf and episodic tight global supply cycles. See the child primer's §6. [12][16]

7. Regulation

The split that defines the level: the farming is lightly regulated as ordinary agriculture, while the product is among the most heavily regulated consumer goods in the country — and that downstream regulation sets the ceiling on leaf demand. Key items: the 2004 quota buyout (FETRA), which ended production quotas and price supports (~$9.6 billion in transition payments) and drove today's contract model and the farm-count collapse; the 1998 Master Settlement Agreement; and FDA authority over tobacco products, including the on-again/off-again menthol ban and a potential very-low-nicotine standard that could cut domestic leaf needs sharply. Farm operators still face labor (H-2A), pesticide, environmental, and worker-safety rules. Full treatment in the child primer's §7. [13][14][15]

8. Consolidation

Two forces, both inherited directly from 111910: farm-side consolidation (95%+ fewer farms, roughly ninefold larger average size — the crop is now grown by a small number of large, specialized operators) and buyer-side concentration (an oligopsony — few buyers — with only two publicly held global leaf merchants and a concentrated set of manufacturer customers). Growers are largely price-takers. See the child primer's §8. [2][13]

9. Risks

Same risk set as the child, because the level equals the child: secular demand decline in U.S. smoking; regulatory shock (a federal nicotine-reduction standard or revived menthol ban); buyer concentration and persistent pricing pressure; labor (H-2A availability and cost); weather/quality/curing risk; no government price floor since the buyout; global competition and trade/currency exposure; ESG (environmental, social, and governance) screening that limits capital; and measurement risk from the business-statistics undercount and discontinued state crop estimates. Detail and citations in the child primer's §9. [12][13][14]

10. How to invest and outlook

Because 11191 is its one child, the how-to-invest picture is identical. Public routes are indirect: the closest proxy is a leaf merchant (Universal, a "Dividend King"; Pyxus, higher balance-sheet risk), followed by the manufacturers (bets on nicotine consumption and the smoke-free transition, not on U.S. farming); broad ag/farmland vehicles give only trace exposure. Private routes mean buying or leasing tobacco farmland and operating a growing business — gated by H-2A labor, curing infrastructure, and, critically, a buyer contract with a merchant, cooperative, or manufacturer. Base case: continued slow contraction — fewer, larger, contract-bound farms selling to a two-merchant buy side, with domestic demand grinding lower while exports and premium grades provide partial support.

For full detail on every section above — the investable universe with tickers and yields, grower and merchant economics, the regulatory timeline, diligence questions, and complete sources — see the 111910 Tobacco Farming primer. [11]


Sources

Drawn from the child 111910 primer; numbering preserved for cross-reference.

  1. U.S. Small Business Administration, "Table of Size Standards" (NAICS 111910 = $2.5 million in receipts), 2023. https://www.sba.gov/document/support-table-size-standards
  2. Southern Ag Today, "Census Reveals Tobacco Farms Disappearing from Southern Agriculture," 2024. https://southernagtoday.org/2024/03/27/census-reveals-tobacco-farms-disappearing-from-southern-agriculture/
  3. USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service, 2022 Census of Agriculture. https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/AgCensus/2022/
  4. University of Kentucky Dept. of Agricultural Economics, "2022 Tobacco Census Data for Kentucky," 2024. https://agecon.ca.uky.edu/2022-tobacco-census-data-kentucky
  5. USDA NASS, "Crop Production 2025 Summary," Jan. 2026 (tobacco pounds, acres, yield, and state detail). https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/Todays_Reports/reports/cropan26.pdf
  6. USDA NASS, "Crop Values 2025 Summary," Feb. 2026 (2025 farm-gate crop value and average price). https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795791/cpvl0226.pdf
  7. U.S. Census Bureau, "North American Industry Classification System" — definitions for NAICS 11191/111910 (Tobacco Farming), 312230 (Tobacco Manufacturing), 424940 (Tobacco/E-cigarette Merchant Wholesalers), 2022. https://www.census.gov/naics/
  8. U.S. Census Bureau, "County Business Patterns" (employer-establishment coverage; undercount caveat). https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/cbp.html
  9. Universal Corporation, "Reports Fiscal Year and Fourth Quarter 2026 Results," May 28, 2026. https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260528926072/en/Universal-Corporation-Reports-Fiscal-Year-and-Fourth-Quarter-2026-Results
  10. Pyxus International, "Form 10-K, fiscal year ended March 31, 2026." https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000939930&type=10-K
  11. Altria Group, "Form 10-K, year ended December 31, 2025." https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000764180&type=10-K
  12. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) / NEJM Evidence, "Tobacco Product Use Among U.S. Adults, 2023–2024," 2025 (9.9% cigarette prevalence). https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/php/data-statistics/adult-data-cigarettes/index.html
  13. U.S. Food and Drug Administration, "About the Center for Tobacco Products." https://www.fda.gov/tobacco-products/about-center-tobacco-products-ctp
  14. Tobacco Law Blog, "FDA Withdraws Proposed Bans on Menthol Cigarettes and Flavored Cigars" and nicotine-reduction coverage, 2025. https://www.tobaccolawblog.com/2025/02/fda-withdraws-proposed-bans-on-menthol-cigarettes-and-flavored-cigars/
  15. Congressional Research Service, "Tobacco Quota Buyout" (RS22046) / Fair and Equitable Tobacco Reform Act (FETRA). https://nationalaglawcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/assets/crs/RS22046.pdf
  16. Statista, "U.S. exports of tobacco, 2023." https://www.statista.com/statistics/1097931/us-exports-of-tobacco-products/