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Industry Primers

Bottom-up NAICS industry primers written for both public-market and private investors. Leaf industries are researched from the ground up; every group, subsector, and sector above them reads as a contrast across the industries beneath it.

2122 industries · 24 sectors · NAICS 2022

Researched with AI assistance from official U.S. statistics and independent sources, with citations on every page. Figures are not individually verified against pinned evidence — primers marked Evidence-verified are. Industry research, not investment advice. Methodology.

IndustryNAICS 48421

Used Household and Office Goods Moving (U.S.) — Industry-Group Primer

NAICS 2022 code 48421. NAICS = North American Industry Classification System, the standard code set U.S. statistical agencies use to define industries. This is a five-digit NAICS industry; it contains a single six-digit child, 484210, so the two levels are effectively the same thing.


1. Overview

NAICS 48421 is the "professional movers" industry: companies that pack, load, haul, unload, and briefly store used household belongings and used office furniture — the local crew with a truck, and the interstate van line that carries a family's possessions across the country.[1] It is a physical, labor-heavy, low-margin service business, not a manufacturing or asset-appreciation play.

For an investor, moving demand is a real-time read on household mobility and housing turnover — how often Americans change addresses — and the field is unusually fragmented and old-economy, the kind of setting where roll-ups, franchising, and technology disruption create winners and losers.

This is a short pass-through page. For the full treatment — the investable universe, unit economics, regulation, and outlook — see the child leaf primer, 484210.


2. What's inside — and why this level equals its one child

NAICS is a nested hierarchy: each five-digit industry breaks into one or more six-digit national industries. NAICS 48421 has exactly one child:

Child code Name Relationship to 48421
484210 Used Household and Office Goods Moving The whole of the industry group

Because there is a single child, the five-digit industry (48421) and the six-digit national industry (484210) cover the same establishments and the same activity. Every figure, boundary, and dynamic at this level is inherited one-for-one from 484210 — the U.S. Census Bureau simply did not split "used goods moving" into finer specialties. So this page carries the ground-truth stats for the level and points you to the child for detail; the child primer is the authoritative source.

One boundary worth repeating, because everyday "moving" is broader than the statistical industry: truck/trailer rental for do-it-yourself moves (U-Haul, Penske, Budget → NAICS 532120), self-storage and portable containers (PODS, U-Box, 1-800-PACK-RAT → NAICS 531130), general freight trucking of new goods (484110/484121/484122), and standalone warehousing (493110) all sit in other codes, even though they compete for the same relocations.[1] See 484210 for the full exclusion list.


3. How big it is (this level's rollup figures)

Because 48421 has one child, its totals are identical to 484210's. Federal ground-truth figures for the employer side of the industry:

Metric Value Source (year)
Revenue (receipts) $20.1 billion 2022 Economic Census [3]
Employer firms 9,519 2022 Economic Census [3]
Establishments 9,436 County Business Patterns 2023 [2]
Paid employees 102,745 County Business Patterns 2023 [2]
Annual payroll $4.69 billion County Business Patterns 2023 [2]
First-quarter payroll $1.10 billion County Business Patterns 2023 [2]
Avg. wages per employee (derived) ~$45,600 derived from [2]

Average firm revenue is only about $2.1 million (2022 receipts ÷ 2022 firm count), well under the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) small-business ceiling of $34 million in average annual receipts, so the overwhelming majority of movers qualify as small businesses.[3][4] The firm count (2022 Economic Census) and establishment count (2023 County Business Patterns) come from different programs and years and a firm can run multiple establishments, so the two should not be compared mechanically.

Undercount caveat — important here. These federal figures count only employer establishments. County Business Patterns (CBP) excludes nonemployer sole proprietors, so the headline misses two large layers of the real moving economy:[2] (1) nonemployer and owner-operator movers — independent drivers who own their trucks and hire day labor per job, which is how much interstate household hauling is actually done;[18] and (2) the DIY and container substitutes classified in other codes. Industry tallies that fold in these layers put employment near 480,000 and wages near $13 billion — several times the employer-only federal count.[26] Treat $20.1 billion as the floor for the professional-hauling slice; the total Americans spend to relocate is materially larger. (Full methodology in 484210.)


4. Investable universe (where value concentrates)

With only one child, all of the level's value sits in that single industry — there is no second segment to weigh it against. The key fact for investors: there is essentially no pure-play public full-service mover. The biggest branded van lines are privately held or agent-owned, so public exposure is indirect and the richest opportunities live in the private market. In brief:

  • Public (adjacent only): U-Haul Holding (NYSE: UHAL / UHAL.B) for the DIY-move and self-storage side; ArcBest (NASDAQ: ARCB) for the "you-load-we-drive" U-Pack niche; self-storage REITs (real estate investment trusts) Public Storage (NYSE: PSA) and Extra Space Storage (NYSE: EXR) for the storage real estate around moving demand — none of them a mover.[5][6][7][8]

  • Private (where the industry lives): the van-line networks — UniGroup (United, Mayflower), SIRVA (Allied, North American), Atlas, Wheaton/Bekins, JK Moving — plus franchisors (Two Men and a Truck, College HUNKS) and container disruptors (PODS, U-Box, 1-800-PACK-RAT).[9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16]

The full table with scale, ownership, and the agent/owner-operator network model is in 484210, Section 4.


5. How the money works

Local moves are billed by the hour (a two-person crew plus truck ~$100–200/hr; most local jobs $700–$2,500); long-distance moves are priced by weight and distance plus accessorial charges (a 2–3 bedroom interstate move commonly $3,000–$6,000).[20] National van lines own the brand, customer, and interstate authority while local agents and independent owner-operator drivers do the physical work and pay the van line a percentage of revenue — an asset-light model for the van line, dependent on keeping quality agents in the network.[19] Margins are thin and cyclical, with no recurring subscription revenue; the levers are crew utilization, truck load factor, cargo-claims control, and a base of stable corporate-relocation and military/government contract volume. Full unit economics in 484210, Section 5.


6. Demand drivers

Moving volume is a leveraged bet on people changing addresses. The dominant near-term driver is residential mobility, which is near record lows: the Census Bureau's American Community Survey reported 11.8% of the population moved in 2024 (2.1% between states),[25] and the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies put the 2024 household mobility rate at about 11.2%, the lowest on record, as homeowners with cheap pandemic-era mortgages stay put — the mortgage "lock-in."[24] Secondary drivers: interstate migration patterns (Sun Belt inflows drive profitable long-haul loads), employment and corporate relocation, military moves (permanent change of station, PCS), office/commercial relocation, and substitution toward DIY rental and containers in downturns.[5][10][16] The secular backdrop is a less mobile America — a structural drag independent of the rate cycle. Detail in 484210, Section 6.


7. Regulation

Interstate household-goods carriers must register with the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA), part of the U.S. Department of Transportation, obtain a USDOT number and operating authority, and follow the consumer-protection rules in 49 CFR Part 375 (CFR = Code of Federal Regulations) — written estimates, the bill of lading, the 110% rule on non-binding estimates, and the choice between Full Value Protection and bare-minimum Released Value (60¢/lb) liability.[21] A persistent fraud problem (rogue movers and unlicensed brokers holding goods "hostage") makes reputation an industry-level cost.[21][23] Intrastate (local) moves are regulated by each state. A live wild card: the Department of Defense terminated its consolidated Global Household Goods Contract (GHC) for cause in June 2025, reverting military moves toward the legacy van-line program.[26] Full regulatory map in 484210, Section 7.


8. Consolidation

Federal data confirm one of the least-concentrated industries around: the top 4 firms hold just 18.6% of revenue, the top 8 22.8%, the top 20 29.4%, and the top 50 only 37.2%; the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI, a standard concentration measure where anything under ~1,500 is "unconcentrated") is a mere 111.7.[3] Barriers to entry are low (a truck, a crew, insurance) but barriers to scale (interstate authority, a trusted brand, a national agent network, government contracts) are real. Consolidation is visible but not winner-take-all: van-line groups aggregate thousands of small agents; franchisors and private-equity platforms roll up local operators; container and labor-marketplace models unbundle the truck, labor, and storage.[9][12][16][17] Detail in 484210, Section 8.


9. Risks

The single biggest risk is housing/rate cyclicality — volumes track existing-home sales and mortgage rates closely, and mobility is at record lows.[24] Layered on top: a secular decline in mobility; labor (seasonal, physically demanding, high turnover, workers'-comp exposure);[18] execution and cargo claims; seasonality (a short summer peak against year-round fixed costs); fuel and fleet costs; regulation and reputation (fraud among rogue operators taxes the whole field);[21][23] substitution by DIY and containers; leverage/credit risk at consolidators (see SIRVA's lender takeover);[9] and contract disruption (the military GHC reversal).[26] Full list in 484210, Section 9.


10. How to invest, and the outlook

Because this level equals its one child, the how-to-invest picture is identical to 484210's. Public exposure is indirect — U-Haul (UHAL/UHAL.B) for DIY-move and self-storage; ArcBest (ARCB) for the U-Pack container niche; self-storage REITs (PSA, EXR) for the surrounding real estate — none a full-service mover.[5][6][7][8] The direct routes are private: buying or backing a local mover with strong route density, acquiring a van-line agency, taking a franchise, funding a private-equity roll-up, or lending to leveraged consolidators.

Near-term outlook (forward-looking judgment). The cycle is at or near a trough — record-low mobility and rate lock-in have depressed volumes, and a durable rebound likely waits on materially lower mortgage rates and thawing home sales, which had not clearly arrived as of 2025.[24] DIY, storage, and container segments have proven resilient as households economize, and consolidation is likely to continue in a fragmented field. Net: a defensive, cyclical, low-margin industry best played through storage/DIY-adjacent public names or hands-on private ownership — not a growth sector, but a durable one tied to the fundamentals of American housing and employment. See 484210 for the complete analysis.


Sources

Drawn from the child primer, NAICS 484210. This level's stats come from stats-48421.md, whose employer-side figures are identical to 484210's (single-child pass-through).

  1. U.S. Census Bureau. 2022 NAICS Definition — 484210 Used Household and Office Goods Moving. https://www.census.gov/naics/?details=484210&input=484210&year=2022
  2. U.S. Census Bureau. County Business Patterns 2023 — NAICS 484210 (establishments, employment, annual and Q1 payroll; nonemployer-exclusion methodology). https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/cbp.html
  3. U.S. Census Bureau. 2022 Economic Census — Concentration of Largest Firms, NAICS 484210 (receipts, firms, CR4/CR8/CR20/CR50, HHI). https://data.census.gov/table/ECNSIZE2022.EC2200SIZECONCEN
  4. U.S. Small Business Administration. Table of Small Business Size Standards Matched to NAICS Codes. 2023. https://www.sba.gov/document/support-table-size-standards
  5. U-Haul Holding Company. Fiscal 2025 Financial Results and Form 10-K (revenue ~$5.83B; self-moving; self-storage; NYSE: UHAL / UHAL.B; self-moving/storage distinguished from full-service moving). https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/4457/000095017025078451/uhal-20250331.htm
  6. U-Pack / ArcBest. ABF Transportation — U-Pack (U-Pack is an ArcBest/ABF Freight "you-load-we-drive" service; NASDAQ: ARCB). https://www.upack.com/about-upack/abf
  7. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Public Storage Form 10-K (self-storage REIT; NYSE: PSA). https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1393311/000162828026007696/psa-20251231.htm
  8. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Extra Space Storage Form 10-K (self-storage REIT; NYSE: EXR). https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289490/000128949026000011/exr-20251231.htm
  9. SIRVA Worldwide. SIRVA Closes Transaction with New Ownership Group (Aug 2024 credit/lender recapitalization; Allied & North American brands). https://www.sirva.com/company/news/2024/08/20/sirva-closes-transaction-with-new-ownership-group-positions-the-company-for-continued-long-term-success
  10. UniGroup, C.A. About Us / Member Relations; United Van Lines National Movers Study (agent/member-owned cooperative; United Van Lines and Mayflower Transit). https://www.unigroup.com/about-us/member-relations
  11. Atlas World Group. Atlas Affiliates (agent-owned; agents own much of the equipment/warehousing). https://www.atlasworldgroupinc.com/affiliates
  12. Wheaton World Wide Moving. Wheaton Acquires Bekins Van Lines and Agent Network (Wheaton/Bekins; later acquired Stevens Worldwide; independently owned agents). https://www.wheatonworldwide.com/why-wheaton/company-news/wheaton-van-lines-inc-acquires-bekins-van-lines/
  13. JK Moving Services. Company / Leadership (founder-led, privately held national mover). https://www.jkmoving.com/media-center/david-cox-promoted-to-president-of-jk-moving
  14. Two Men and a Truck. About Us (large franchised moving system). https://twomenandatruck.com/about-us
  15. moveBuddha. These Are the Largest Moving Companies in the Country (van-line networks and franchisors, incl. College HUNKS). 2025. https://www.movebuddha.com/blog/largest-moving-companies/
  16. HireAHelper / Move.org. Moving Containers & Labor Marketplaces (PODS; U-Box; 1-800-PACK-RAT; U-Pack; HireAHelper; Bellhop). https://www.hireahelper.com/advice/moving-storage-containers/
  17. PR Newswire. Zippy Shell Completes $52.5 Million Capital Raise (containerized moving/storage; Virgo Investment Group, Carlyle financing). 2024. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/zippy-shell-inc-completes-525-million-capital-raise-302144056.html
  18. Overdrive. Owner-Operator Niche: Household Goods Hauling Offers Big Bucks for Big Work (owner-operator economics; labor intensity). https://www.overdriveonline.com/business/article/14890142/owner-operator-niche-household-goods-hauling-offers-big-bucks-for-big-work
  19. Move.org / Louis Massaro. What Is a Moving Van Line? / Should Your Moving Company Become a Van Line Agent? (agent revenue-share model). https://www.move.org/what-is-a-moving-van-line/
  20. moveBuddha / HomeAdvisor / U.S. News. 2025–2026 Moving Cost Guides (local hourly rates; long-distance 2–3BR ranges). https://www.movebuddha.com/moving-cost-calculator/
  21. Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA), U.S. DOT. Protect Your Move — Consumer Rights & Responsibilities; Regulations and Enforcement (49 CFR Part 375); 110% rule. https://www.fmcsa.dot.gov/protect-your-move/consumer-rights
  22. U.S. Department of Transportation. FMCSA Continues Nationwide Crackdown on Fraudulent Household Goods Movers and Brokers. 2024. https://www.transportation.gov/briefing-room/fmcsa-continues-nationwide-crackdown-fraudulent-household-goods-movers-and-brokers
  23. Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies (JCHS). Household Mobility Fell to Record Low in 2024. https://www.jchs.harvard.edu/blog/household-mobility-fell-record-low-2024
  24. U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey — Geographic Mobility, 2024 (11.8% of population moved; 2.1% moved between states). https://www.census.gov/topics/population/migration/guidance/acs-1yr.html
  25. Federal News Network / U.S. Transportation Command. Pentagon Cancels Multibillion-Dollar Household Goods Moving Contract (GHC / HomeSafe Alliance terminated for cause, June 2025). https://federalnewsnetwork.com/defense-news/2025/06/pentagon-cancels-multibillion-dollar-household-goods-moving-contract/
  26. ConsumerAffairs. Moving Industry Statistics. 2026 (broad-definition employment ~480,000; wages ~$13B). https://www.consumeraffairs.com/movers/moving-industry-statistics.html